Round 5 of the Hills Football League sees Blackwood back at home for the third time in four games. This round the Onkaparinga Valley Bulldogs travel to the Blackwood Hills Oval. Since 2010 the sides have meet on 14 occasions in the A Grade with Blackwood having won 71% of the time (10 out of 14 matches).
This is the 4th best record against any side that Blackwood has played in the A-Grade in the 7 year period between 2010 and 2016. The sides which Blackwood has a better winning percentage against are Birdwood (100%), Bridgewater (100%) and Mt Lofty (75%).
Games at Blackwood Hill Oval
Between 2010 and 2016 there have been 7 matches played between Blackwood and Onkaparinga Valley at the Blackwood Hill Oval. Of these matches Blackwood has won 6 out of 7 (86%) with the only loss coming in Round 18 of 2014 where Onkaparinga Valley won by 57 points.
The full results from these games are:
- 2016 – Blackwood 14.8.92 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 11.10.76
- 2015 – Blackwood 13.8.86 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 4.7.31
- 2014 – Blackwood 7.10.52 defeated by Onkaparinga Valley 17.7.109
- 2013 – Blackwood 10.10.70 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 10.8.68
- 2012 – Blackwood 15.10.100 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 14.8.92
- 2011 – Blackwood 16.9.105 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 12.7.79
- 2010 – Blackwood 18.15.123 defeated Onkaparinga Valley 6.12.48
The stats of Season 2017
The statistics from the games played to date by Blackwood and Onkaparinga Valley in Season 2017 are as follows:
Wins
- Blackwood has won 3 out of 3 games by an average winning margin of 72 points.
- Onkaparinga Valley has won 1 from 3 games in 2017. Of the losses one was by 2 points.
Points for
- Blackwood score on average 116 points per game (+29 on 2016). This makes them the best scoring side in the competition to date in 2017.
- Onkaparinga Valley score on average 97 points per game (+19 on 2016). This makes them the second best scoring side in the competition to date in 2017.
Points against
- Blackwood concede on average 43 points per game (-21 on 2016) – Second best defence in the competition to date.
- Onkaparinga Valley concede on average 83 points (-7 on 2016) – Seventh best defence in the competition to date.
Differential
- Blackwood has differential of +72. (Ranked #1)
- Onkaparinga Valley who have a differential of +13. (Ranked #4)
This means from the statistics that Blackwood are +59 on Onkaparinga Valley on a statistical basis in Season 2017.
Improvement on 2016
Both sides have improved on when the Statistics for 2016 are analysed.
- Blackwood are +50 in terms of differential rating on the figure for 2016, whilst Onkaparinga Valley are +26 in this category.
- These two sides sit second and third in terms of improvement in 2017. The only side with a better improvement across the differential rating for the 2017 season to date is Echunga who are +78 on 2016. (Gone from -75 to +3)
Quarters won
To date in Season 2017, Blackwood has won 83% (10 of 12) of all quarters they have played whilst Onkaparinga Valley has won 58% (7 of 12). The statistics for quarters won are deceptive. Taking into account 2016:
- In the first half of the season, Onkaparinga Valley won 2 from 9 games winning only 33% of total quarters. (Blackwood won 5 from 9 games and 64% of quarters in this time).
- In the back half of 2016, Onkaparinga Valley won 5 from 9 games winning 56% of total quarters played. (Not including finals, Blackwood won 7 from 9 games and won 61% of total quarters played).
These statistics therefore show both sides are continuing their form on from the back end of 2016 and playing well in the early half of Season 2017. This suggests it should be a closely fought game.
Players to watch for Onkaparinga Valley
We’ve done an analysis of the players from Onkaparinga Valley. Some key players for them include:
- Jesse O’Brien – Been in the best players in 95% of games played since the start of 2016 (20 times from 21 matches. Highest percentage of any player in the Hills competition). He also averages 1.1 goals per game during this period.
- Luke Mitchell – Been in the best 75% of games played (6 out of 8) and kicks on average 3.1 goals in these games.
- Michael Leonard – Has kicked 23% of the total goals for Onkaparinga Valley since 2015 averaging 2.5 goals a game.
- Jordan Wilson-King – Been in the best 63% of games (5 out of 8) played since joining the club in 2016.
- Adam Klun – Is in the best 38% of games he has played since 2015 and kicked 23 goals in this time.
Other notable statistics
A spread of goal kickers will be important. To date in 2017: 59% of goals for Onkaparinga Valley in 2017 (24 of 41 goals) have come from their top 4 scorers: Brendan Moon (7), Michael Leonard (6), Jesse O’Brien (6) and Luke Mitchell (5). This compares to Blackwood where 46% of goals have come from the top 4 scoring players.
The first quarter will be a heated battle. Neither Blackwood or Onkaparinga Valley have lost a first quarter in 2017
If the Bulldogs win the second quarter, they win the match. Of the eight wins they have had since the start of 2016 they have won 100% of second quarters in these games.
Whoever leads at half time will probably win the game. 88% of wins from Blackwood since the start of 2016 have resulted from leading at half time. This compares with 75% of wins for Onkaparinga Valley.
Game times
A Grade: 2.30pm – B Grade: 12.50pm – Senior Colts: 11.10am – Junior Colts: 9.55am – Mini Colts: 8.55am
The C Grade also play on Saturday hosting Milang from 4.45pm (After the A Grade)
See you at the football.
#honouthecolours
